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AVGO logoAVGOEquity research

Report date: 2026-06-07

$325.48-6.65 (-2.00%)Live · delayed quote, informational only

Analysis focus

Provide a balanced, comprehensive analysis: fundamentals and valuation, the Wall Street view, technical posture, and the key forward risks and catalysts.

Summary

Broadcom trades around $385-386 as of June 5-7, 2026, after a sharp post-earnings drop. Shares closed at $479.23 on June 3, then fell roughly 13-14% on June 4 toward ~$410, and slid further to ~$385.73 by June 5, leaving the stock down meaningfully from its June 2 all-time closing high near $481.57 and its 52-week intraday high around $495. The 52-week low is $241.11, so the 52-week change remains strongly positive (~+48%), and shares were up ~40% year-to-date before the selloff. Technically, AVGO has broken below its 50-day moving average (~$398) but remains well above its rising 200-day moving average (~$356). The 14-day RSI collapsed into oversold territory (readings around 26-35) during the drop, with chart watchers flagging support near $405 (now breached) and the $355-385 zone, and overhead resistance around $427, $441, and the prior $481 high. Beta is ~1.43, so the stock is more volatile than the market. The bull case rests on Broadcom's dominant position in custom AI accelerators (XPUs) and AI networking. Q2 FY2026 (reported June 3) delivered record revenue of $22.2B, up 48% YoY, with non-GAAP EPS of $2.44 beating the ~$2.39 consensus, GAAP EPS of $1.91, non-GAAP net income of $12.1B, adjusted EBITDA of $15.2B (~69% of revenue), and free cash flow of $10.3B (46% of revenue). AI semiconductor revenue hit a record $10.8B, up 143% YoY, and management reported over $30B of AI bookings in the quarter against $10.8B shipped. Q3 guidance is for ~$29.4B total revenue (up ~84% YoY) with AI semi revenue of ~$16B (up >200% YoY). Broadcom reaffirmed ~$56B of FY2026 AI revenue (~180% growth) and reiterated a target above $100B of annual AI semiconductor revenue in FY2027, citing six core XPU customers (Google, Meta, OpenAI, Anthropic and two others) and visibility into 2028. Semiconductor solutions were ~$15B (68% of revenue) and infrastructure software (VMware-led) ~$7.2B (32%). The quarterly dividend is $0.65/share. Consensus is Strong Buy/Buy with a 12-month average target around $513 (range ~$390-$630), implying material upside from current levels. The bear case starts with valuation and concentration. Even after the drop, AVGO carries a stretched multiple: trailing P/E in the ~64-82 range and EV/EBITDA around 44-54, with forward P/E estimates that diverge widely by source (~24.5 at stockanalysis.com vs. ~34 at GuruFocus/others) depending on which forward EPS is used. The selloff itself was a 'sell-the-news' reaction: the Q3 AI guide of ~$16B fell short of the ~$17.2B some analysts expected, and Broadcom did not raise its full-year AI forecast, with at least one analyst cutting to Neutral at a $437 target. AI revenue is concentrated among a handful of hyperscalers/LLM labs, so a capex pause, roadmap slip, or in-sourcing shift at Google, Meta, OpenAI or Anthropic could drive outsized volatility; bears also cite ~$650B of industry AI capex now facing ROI scrutiny, competition from NVIDIA's general-purpose GPUs and rival custom-silicon designers like Marvell, VMware pricing backlash and churn risk, and notable insider selling earlier in 2026. None of this constitutes a recommendation; figures are time-sensitive and several valuation metrics are contested across sources.

Findings (16)

Q2 FY2026 revenue was $22.2B, up 48% YoY, beating consensus (~$22.13B); non-GAAP EPS $2.44 (beat ~$2.39), GAAP EPS $1.91.

High confidence

Multiple sources confirm $22.2B revenue (+48% YoY) and non-GAAP EPS of $2.44 vs ~$2.39 expected, reported June 3, 2026.

Q2 FY2026 AI semiconductor revenue was a record $10.8B, up 143% YoY.

High confidence

Consistently reported $10.8B AI semiconductor revenue, +143% YoY, driven by custom AI accelerators and AI networking.

Q2 FY2026 adjusted EBITDA was ~$15.2B (~69% of revenue) and free cash flow was $10.3B (46% of revenue).

High confidence

Press release and call confirm record adjusted EBITDA of ~69% of revenue and FCF of $10.3B at 46% of revenue; non-GAAP net income $12.1B.

Segment mix in Q2 FY2026: semiconductor solutions ~$15.0B (68% of revenue), infrastructure software (VMware-led) ~$7.2B (32%).

High confidence

Reported $15.0B semiconductor solutions and $7.2B infrastructure software, summing to the $22.2B total.

Q3 FY2026 guidance is ~$29.4B total revenue (up ~84% YoY) with AI semiconductor revenue of ~$16B (up >200% YoY).

High confidence

Guidance of ~$29.4B total and ~$16B AI semi revenue; non-GAAP operating margin ~67%.

Broadcom reported over $30B of AI bookings in Q2 against $10.8B shipped, with visibility cited into 2028.

High confidence

CEO Hock Tan: bookings for AI semiconductors over $30B against $10.8B shipped; visibility runs to 2028.

Broadcom reaffirmed ~$56B FY2026 AI semiconductor revenue (~180% growth) and a target above $100B annual AI revenue in FY2027.

High confidence

Management reaffirmed ~$56B FY2026 AI revenue and reiterated the $100B+ FY2027 AI target backed by multi-year contracts.

Broadcom serves six core custom-XPU customers including Google, Meta, OpenAI and Anthropic, holding roughly ~70% of the custom AI accelerator market.

Medium confidence

Call cites six core AI accelerator customers; third-party estimates put Broadcom near 70% of custom AI ASIC share, though the exact share figure varies by source.

Quarterly dividend is $0.65 per share (payable June 30, 2026); dividend yield ~0.67%.

High confidence

Press release lists $0.65/share quarterly dividend ($3.1B paid in quarter); stockanalysis.com shows ~0.67% yield.

Stock fell ~13-14% after Q2 earnings, from a $479.23 close (June 3) to ~$410 (June 4) and ~$385.73 by June 5, vs a 52-week range of $241.11-$495.

High confidence

24/7 Wall St reports a ~14% drop from $479.23 to ~$410; stockanalysis.com shows $385.73 close (June 5) and 52-week range $241.11-$495.

The selloff was a 'sell-the-news' reaction: Q3 AI guide (~$16B) missed some analysts' ~$17.2B expectations and the full-year AI forecast was not raised.

High confidence

CFRA's Angelo Zino called it a 'sell-the-news' move; Q3 AI guidance of $16B vs ~$17.2B expected and no FY raise drove the drop, with one analyst cutting to Neutral at $437.

AVGO broke below its ~$398 50-day MA but remains above its ~$356 200-day MA; 14-day RSI fell to oversold (~26-35) during the drop.

Medium confidence

stockanalysis.com shows 50-day MA $398.41 and 200-day MA $355.79; technical sources report RSI dropping into the high-20s to mid-30s, with the stock below the 50-day MA.

Technical support is seen near $405 (now breached) and the $355-385 zone, with resistance around $427, $441 and the prior ~$481 high.

Low confidence

Fibonacci-based analysis cites support at ~$405 and resistance at $427/$441/$481; such levels are interpretive and source-dependent.

Analyst consensus is Strong Buy/Buy with a 12-month average target around $513 (range ~$390-$630).

Medium confidence

Multiple aggregators report Strong Buy/Buy consensus with average targets clustering ~$507-$518 and a high near $630, low near $390; exact figures differ by provider and update timing.

Valuation remains rich post-drop: trailing P/E ~64-82, EV/EBITDA ~44-54, with forward P/E estimates diverging widely (~24.5 to ~42) across sources.

Medium confidence

stockanalysis.com shows trailing P/E 64.2, EV/EBITDA 44.6, forward P/E 24.55; GuruFocus cites forward P/E ~42.5; a bear piece cites ~82 trailing and EV/EBITDA ~54 — forward P/E in particular is contested.

Key risks: AI revenue concentrated in ~six hyperscaler/LLM customers, ~$650B industry AI capex facing ROI scrutiny, NVIDIA/Marvell competition, VMware pricing backlash, and 2026 insider selling.

Medium confidence

Bear analyses flag concentration among Google/Meta/OpenAI/Anthropic, capex ROI scrutiny (~$650B), competition from NVIDIA GPUs and Marvell custom silicon, VMware/VCF price hikes and churn risk, plus insider sales earlier in 2026.

Sources (33)

Caveats

All prices and technicals are highly time-sensitive and reflect the volatile post-earnings window of June 3-7, 2026; intraday quotes (e.g., ~$385.73 June 5 close vs ~$410 June 4) shift rapidly. The primary SEC 8-K (avgo-05032026) and CNBC earnings page returned HTTP 403 and could not be directly fetched, so Q2 figures rely on the StockTitan summary of the press release plus the Motley Fool/Globe and Mail earnings-call transcripts, which corroborate each other. Valuation metrics are genuinely contested: forward P/E ranges from ~24.5 (stockanalysis.com) to ~34-42 (GuruFocus/others) and trailing P/E from ~64 to ~82 depending on EPS basis and update timing; EV/EBITDA likewise spans ~44-54. Analyst average targets cluster ~$507-$518 but vary by aggregator and may lag the post-earnings price reset. Support/resistance levels and RSI readings are interpretive and source-dependent (low confidence). The ~70% custom-ASIC market-share figure and the six-customer roster are third-party/management estimates. Some sources (tickeron, altindex) are auto-generated and treated as unreliable. This report is informational analysis only and does NOT constitute a buy, sell, or hold recommendation.

This report is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice. No buy / sell / hold recommendation is made or implied.

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