Report date: 2026-06-07
Analysis focus
Provide a balanced, comprehensive analysis: fundamentals and valuation, the Wall Street view, technical posture, and the key forward risks and catalysts.
Summary
Findings (16)
Q2 FY2026 revenue was $22.2B, up 48% YoY, beating consensus (~$22.13B); non-GAAP EPS $2.44 (beat ~$2.39), GAAP EPS $1.91.
High confidenceMultiple sources confirm $22.2B revenue (+48% YoY) and non-GAAP EPS of $2.44 vs ~$2.39 expected, reported June 3, 2026.
Q2 FY2026 AI semiconductor revenue was a record $10.8B, up 143% YoY.
High confidenceConsistently reported $10.8B AI semiconductor revenue, +143% YoY, driven by custom AI accelerators and AI networking.
Q2 FY2026 adjusted EBITDA was ~$15.2B (~69% of revenue) and free cash flow was $10.3B (46% of revenue).
High confidencePress release and call confirm record adjusted EBITDA of ~69% of revenue and FCF of $10.3B at 46% of revenue; non-GAAP net income $12.1B.
Segment mix in Q2 FY2026: semiconductor solutions ~$15.0B (68% of revenue), infrastructure software (VMware-led) ~$7.2B (32%).
High confidenceReported $15.0B semiconductor solutions and $7.2B infrastructure software, summing to the $22.2B total.
Q3 FY2026 guidance is ~$29.4B total revenue (up ~84% YoY) with AI semiconductor revenue of ~$16B (up >200% YoY).
High confidenceGuidance of ~$29.4B total and ~$16B AI semi revenue; non-GAAP operating margin ~67%.
Broadcom reported over $30B of AI bookings in Q2 against $10.8B shipped, with visibility cited into 2028.
High confidenceCEO Hock Tan: bookings for AI semiconductors over $30B against $10.8B shipped; visibility runs to 2028.
Broadcom serves six core custom-XPU customers including Google, Meta, OpenAI and Anthropic, holding roughly ~70% of the custom AI accelerator market.
Medium confidenceCall cites six core AI accelerator customers; third-party estimates put Broadcom near 70% of custom AI ASIC share, though the exact share figure varies by source.
Quarterly dividend is $0.65 per share (payable June 30, 2026); dividend yield ~0.67%.
High confidencePress release lists $0.65/share quarterly dividend ($3.1B paid in quarter); stockanalysis.com shows ~0.67% yield.
Stock fell ~13-14% after Q2 earnings, from a $479.23 close (June 3) to ~$410 (June 4) and ~$385.73 by June 5, vs a 52-week range of $241.11-$495.
High confidence24/7 Wall St reports a ~14% drop from $479.23 to ~$410; stockanalysis.com shows $385.73 close (June 5) and 52-week range $241.11-$495.
The selloff was a 'sell-the-news' reaction: Q3 AI guide (~$16B) missed some analysts' ~$17.2B expectations and the full-year AI forecast was not raised.
High confidenceCFRA's Angelo Zino called it a 'sell-the-news' move; Q3 AI guidance of $16B vs ~$17.2B expected and no FY raise drove the drop, with one analyst cutting to Neutral at $437.
AVGO broke below its ~$398 50-day MA but remains above its ~$356 200-day MA; 14-day RSI fell to oversold (~26-35) during the drop.
Medium confidencestockanalysis.com shows 50-day MA $398.41 and 200-day MA $355.79; technical sources report RSI dropping into the high-20s to mid-30s, with the stock below the 50-day MA.
Technical support is seen near $405 (now breached) and the $355-385 zone, with resistance around $427, $441 and the prior ~$481 high.
Low confidenceFibonacci-based analysis cites support at ~$405 and resistance at $427/$441/$481; such levels are interpretive and source-dependent.
Analyst consensus is Strong Buy/Buy with a 12-month average target around $513 (range ~$390-$630).
Medium confidenceMultiple aggregators report Strong Buy/Buy consensus with average targets clustering ~$507-$518 and a high near $630, low near $390; exact figures differ by provider and update timing.
Valuation remains rich post-drop: trailing P/E ~64-82, EV/EBITDA ~44-54, with forward P/E estimates diverging widely (~24.5 to ~42) across sources.
Medium confidencestockanalysis.com shows trailing P/E 64.2, EV/EBITDA 44.6, forward P/E 24.55; GuruFocus cites forward P/E ~42.5; a bear piece cites ~82 trailing and EV/EBITDA ~54 — forward P/E in particular is contested.
Key risks: AI revenue concentrated in ~six hyperscaler/LLM customers, ~$650B industry AI capex facing ROI scrutiny, NVIDIA/Marvell competition, VMware pricing backlash, and 2026 insider selling.
Medium confidenceBear analyses flag concentration among Google/Meta/OpenAI/Anthropic, capex ROI scrutiny (~$650B), competition from NVIDIA GPUs and Marvell custom silicon, VMware/VCF price hikes and churn risk, plus insider sales earlier in 2026.
Sources (33)
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- https://www.fool.com/earnings/call-transcripts/2026/06/03/broadcom-avgo-q2-2026-earnings-transcript/fundamentalsPrimary
- https://www.theglobeandmail.com/investing/markets/stocks/AVGO/pressreleases/2294240/broadcom-avgo-q2-2026-earnings-transcript/fundamentalsPrimary
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- https://tickeron.com/ticker/AVGO/technicalsUnreliable
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Caveats
All prices and technicals are highly time-sensitive and reflect the volatile post-earnings window of June 3-7, 2026; intraday quotes (e.g., ~$385.73 June 5 close vs ~$410 June 4) shift rapidly. The primary SEC 8-K (avgo-05032026) and CNBC earnings page returned HTTP 403 and could not be directly fetched, so Q2 figures rely on the StockTitan summary of the press release plus the Motley Fool/Globe and Mail earnings-call transcripts, which corroborate each other. Valuation metrics are genuinely contested: forward P/E ranges from ~24.5 (stockanalysis.com) to ~34-42 (GuruFocus/others) and trailing P/E from ~64 to ~82 depending on EPS basis and update timing; EV/EBITDA likewise spans ~44-54. Analyst average targets cluster ~$507-$518 but vary by aggregator and may lag the post-earnings price reset. Support/resistance levels and RSI readings are interpretive and source-dependent (low confidence). The ~70% custom-ASIC market-share figure and the six-customer roster are third-party/management estimates. Some sources (tickeron, altindex) are auto-generated and treated as unreliable. This report is informational analysis only and does NOT constitute a buy, sell, or hold recommendation.
This report is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice. No buy / sell / hold recommendation is made or implied.